{"id":53744,"date":"2024-12-09T13:05:08","date_gmt":"2024-12-09T13:05:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/2024\/12\/09\/bank-of-canada-will-cut-50-bps-big-bank-economists-say\/"},"modified":"2024-12-09T13:05:08","modified_gmt":"2024-12-09T13:05:08","slug":"bank-of-canada-will-cut-50-bps-big-bank-economists-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/2024\/12\/09\/bank-of-canada-will-cut-50-bps-big-bank-economists-say\/","title":{"rendered":"Bank of Canada will cut 50 bps, big bank economists say"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<header aria-label=\"Beginning of Article\" class=\"article-header article-header--story\">\n<nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumb\" class=\"breadcrumbs\" data-aqa=\"nav-breadcrumb\">\n<p>Breadcrumb Trail Links<\/p>\n<ol class=\"breadcrumbs__items list-unstyled\">\n<li class=\"breadcrumbs__item\">News<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/nav>\n<div class=\"article-header__detail\">\n<div class=\"article-header__detail__texts\">\n<p class=\"article-subtitle\">Scotiabank and BMO join pack calling for 50-bps interest rate cut<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-meta\">\n<p><span class=\"published-date__since\">Published Dec 09, 2024<\/span> \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 <span class=\"updated-date__since\">Last updated 25\u00a0minutes ago<\/span> \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 <span class=\"published-date__word-count\">5 minute read<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"article-meta__bottom\">\n<div class=\"bookmark-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"popover\" data-aqa=\"popover\" data-click-to-appear=\"True\" data-container=\"\" data-container-offset=\"\" data-no-style=\"\" data-popover-component=\"\" data-position=\"top\" data-sticky=\"\" data-tail-offset=\"200\" data-tail-position=\"right\"><button class=\"popover__trigger bookmark-button\"><span class=\"save-article-button save-article-button--default\" title=\"Save article\" data-article-id=\"c16bd19b-a8c1-4978-84fa-4ccf8f0d8920\" data-evt-skip-click=\"true\"\/><\/button><\/p>\n<div aria-describedby=\"popover-desc-popover-bookmark\" class=\"popover__content\" hidden=\"\" role=\"dialog\">\n<div class=\"popover__content__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"popover__content__text\" id=\"popover-desc-popover-bookmark\">\n<div class=\"bookmark__popover__content\">\n<p>You can save this article by registering for free here. Or sign-in if you have an account.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><button class=\"popover__content__close\" data-evt-skip-click=\"true\" title=\"Close\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" viewbox=\"0 0 12 12\" class=\"icon--close\" height=\"12\" version=\"1.1\" width=\"12\"><polygon points=\"12 0.95 11.05 0 6 5.05 0.95 0 0 0.95 5.05 6 0 11.05 0.95 12 6 6.95 11.05 12 12 11.05 6.95 6\"\/><\/svg><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"featured-image\" data-aqa=\"featured-image\"><picture class=\"featured-image__ratio\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;h=423&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=ExC-WXgEv5lWyke1Fy_DVQ,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;h=846&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=PhhMZLrUnWgidhaHLGdtAg 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;h=423&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=KQtAwKA9j5GgEwc735YujA,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;h=846&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=UYaSajolFKPYsirruQSdSA 2x\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;h=354&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=As0_zbeicREVyp28wOwsIg,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;h=708&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=bTsixFbrp6GLq3KcTbo2Iw 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;h=354&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=CmdwzmYvn3mV5Kgh8XpBBQ,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;h=708&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=NG_QQ771VLTf1A4JD2O_6w 2x\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;h=216&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=bVacIsE7ZMaFXWDFjaUzOQ,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/canada-banks-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;h=432&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=mDgOVec66vaHS89KftNhGA 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><figcaption class=\"featured-image__caption image-caption\"><span class=\"caption\">Big bank economists are leaning to a 50-basis-point cut from the Bank of Canada in December. <\/span> <span class=\"credit\">Photo by Brent Lewin\/Bloomberg<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Article content<\/h2>\n<figure class=\"embedded-image\" data-aqa=\"embed-image\"><picture class=\"embedded-image__ratio\"><source 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srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=9kNx8K5TtrrlWGwYyxucxQ,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=tHeomvOxi6gManmKhWorsQ 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=nL0azXVy5fYIkpc6I50wAw,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=tktJVw7wfmOs0qSsEBIa5w 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=YxfTvFOWkhsACWs7r_8MkA,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=TcF-YBUk1AWMm-zyN3Pu_g 2x\" media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"embedded-image__image lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;sig=hKuq-wskY5lKlkFQgM-QTg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;sig=hKuq-wskY5lKlkFQgM-QTg,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;sig=tP-X7ZqT8GHw4xLHdd3KpA 2x\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/fp-posthaste-LOGO-01132023.jpg?quality=5&amp;strip=all&amp;w=100&amp;sig=EcCPhKPRlZdph65uTZxLMA\" alt=\"\" height=\"320\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"760\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/figure>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">Just a week ago it was a coin toss whether the Bank of Canada would cut 25 basis points or 50 off its benchmark interest rate on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>But that all changed Friday.<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">After the release of data that showed the jobless rate had hit a seven-year high, markets boosted expectations of a 50-bps cut to 80 per cent and two of the Big Six bank economists changed their forecast.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_2\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment5539672407520969698998009559252992\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 2<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-2\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[6,6],[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-interscroller=\"6x6\" data-ad-loc=\"2\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[6,6],[320,50],[300,50],[300,250],[300,600]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-2\" 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leading global business publication.<\/li>\n<li>Unlimited online access to read articles from Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.<\/li>\n<li>National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on.<\/li>\n<li>Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"intro-body__anonymous\">\n<p>REGISTER \/ SIGN IN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES<\/p>\n<p class=\"identity-intro__description\">Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-unstyled list-checkmark\">\n<li>Access articles from across Canada with one account.<\/li>\n<li>Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments.<\/li>\n<li>Enjoy additional articles per month.<\/li>\n<li>Get email updates from your favourite authors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"intro-body__registration_only hidden\">\n<p>THIS ARTICLE IS FREE TO READ REGISTER TO UNLOCK.<\/p>\n<p class=\"identity-intro__description\">Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-unstyled list-checkmark\">\n<li>Access articles from across Canada with one account<\/li>\n<li>Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments<\/li>\n<li>Enjoy additional articles per month<\/li>\n<li>Get email updates from your favourite authors<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"identity-screen m-x-0 p-x-0 col-xs-12 col-md-6 flex-justify-center flex-align-center\" aria-live=\"assertive\">\n<section class=\"sail\" data-account-id=\"b9d3df2fccd108b5eff3c44f573b2cd6\" data-sailthru-personalization-engine=\"\" data-sailthru-personalization-engine-component=\"\"\/>\n<div class=\"m-x-0 p-x-0 col-xs-12 col-sm-6 col-md-12 flex-align-justify-center\" data-auth-component=\"\" id=\"auth-screen-form\">\n<div class=\"identity-screen-form--active w-full flex-align-justify-center\">\n<div class=\"identity-screen-form identity-screen__content w-full\">\n<h2 class=\"blocker-title\">Sign In or Create an Account<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"identity-divider__line\"\/><span class=\"identity-divider__text\">or<\/span><span class=\"identity-divider__line\"\/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<footer class=\"identity-footer identity-screen__content m-x-0 p-x-0 col-sm-6 col-md-12\"\/><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">The Bank of Nova Scotia and Bank of Montreal joined the pack predicting the central bank will cut the interest rate to 3.25 per cent on Dec. 11.<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">The rise in unemployment to 6.8 per cent was enough to change the mind of economists led by BMO Capital Markets chief economist Douglas Porter.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s the highest jobless rate in nearly eight years (again, apart from 20\/21), and if there is one indicator that will stress the Bank of Canada, this would be the one,\u201d said Porter in a note after the data.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen the facts change, we change, and the sharp rise in the jobless rate is a big change, especially after two months of calm,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Porter stressed that a bigger cut is what BMO believes the Bank of Canada will do, not necessarily what it should do.<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">He says there is a \u201csolid\u201d case for a smaller cut as consumer demand comes back to life, core inflation picks up, the Federal Reserve turns cautious and the Canadian dollar sinks towards 20-year lows.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut the Bank seems biased to ease quickly, and the high jobless rate provides them with a ready invitation,\u201d said Porter.<\/p>\n<p>Scotiabank Economics vice-president Derek Holt now sees a 70 per cent of a 50-bps cut this week, though he argues that his interpretation of the jobs report recommends against it.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div 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Weekdays by 9 a.m.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"newsletter-widget__body__new-story-page\">\n<div class=\"js-replace-main__new-story-page\">\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__disclaimer__new-story-page text-size--tiny\">By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"js-submit-success\" hidden=\"\" id=\"submitSuccessFP_ExecSummary\">\n<p>Thanks for signing up!<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page\">A welcome email is on its way. If you don&#8217;t see it, please check your junk folder.<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page newsletter__feedback--last\">The next issue of Posthaste will soon be in your inbox.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page js-submit-error\" style=\"margin-top: 8px\" hidden=\"\" id=\"submitErrorFP_ExecSummary\">We encountered an issue signing you up. Please try again<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_3\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment4340519350229674447256452379705344\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 3<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-3\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[7,7],[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-interscroller=\"7x7\" data-ad-loc=\"3\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[7,7],[300,250],[320,50],[300,50]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-3\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">He believes the central bank will prioritize the risk of inflation dropping too low over the risk of inflation rising again.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTime will tell if it\u2019s the right approach, but it\u2019s their bias,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">If U.S. President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his threat to impose tariffs, a bigger cut would help the economy, but if Trump doesn\u2019t or if Canada retaliates with tariffs of its own, inflation could take off again.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI have a hunch that we\u2019re at risk of getting too far ahead of ourselves in the face of pent-up demand, pent-up savings and the lagging effects of prior immigration by permanent residents into the housing and consumer markets,\u201d said Holt.<\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Canada may also find it difficult to explain if it cuts just 25 bps why it is doing less than markets expect, considering its dovish tone in recent meetings and ambivalence about the effects on the Canadian dollar, he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf they do upsize again, then I hope there is a much more careful bias if not an outright signal that at 3.25 per cent and 175 bps below the peak policy rate they are prepared to take a bit of a breather and see how the rest unfolds,\u201d Holt wrote in a note.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_4\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment2813069351270299665833726750752768\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 4<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-4\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-loc=\"4\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[320,50],[300,50],[300,250]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-4\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p>Not everyone is convinced the bank will go big.<\/p>\n<p>BofA Securities\u2019 Canada economist Carlos Capistran still expects a 25-bps cut Wednesday, putting the rate at 3.5 per cent by year end.<\/p>\n<p>While the unemployment rate surged in November, the economy gained 51,000 jobs, doubling expectations, which BofA says signals a strengthening economy.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe expect the BoC to cut 25 bp again in January to reach a terminal rate of 3.25 per cent as an expectation of higher U.S. rates by our U.S. economics team limits the room to cut for the BoC,\u201d he said in a note.<\/p>\n<p>Capital Economics also sees signs of recovery and thinks the Bank of Canada will put more weight on the gain in jobs, rather than the rise in the unemployment rate.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat said, markets pricing in a 50-bp cut does increase the likelihood of it happening, as the bank risks sending an unnecessarily hawkish signal otherwise,\u201d said Thomas Ryan, Capital\u2019s North American economist.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p data-async=\"\"><em><strong>\u00a0Sign up here to get Posthaste delivered straight to your inbox.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p><strong><br \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1758646\" alt=\"\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/subhead_leading.png\" width=\"838\"\/><\/strong><\/p>\n<figure class=\"embedded-image\" data-aqa=\"embed-image\"><picture class=\"embedded-image__ratio\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=-GLDbo0FQFw7Ohz-huvQDQ,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=T2Wz2xo1G5bXH1KI2tt2qw 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=-XeCvJEKfu_Rwi6Qdcwwww,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=WclhZmcga92b816wK623IQ 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=fBSorvlA2-ORTnEFPmPhOw,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=RfF27Kw65-7SElHPKm7uOQ 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=eut4dabX2nQfMGAiOuzilQ,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=BymU8iH84oXybF3Sh8kEQA 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=A2c2GqzH-Ue-QNjmOMyEjg,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=1AaRnQddyBHmDfT7MA1qwA 2x\" media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"National Bank of Canada\" class=\"embedded-image__image lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;sig=xBE0ZHq_7ot1qzLlwFZ1lA\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;sig=xBE0ZHq_7ot1qzLlwFZ1lA,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;sig=j8NieJsw6UilXRzDpa0cqA 2x\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/wage-growth-1209.jpg?quality=5&amp;strip=all&amp;w=100&amp;sig=G2EoELDJdi-CPorUt7QqXQ\" height=\"703\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1000\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><figcaption class=\"image-caption\"><span class=\"caption\"> National Bank of Canada<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-async=\"\">Wage growth continues to worry inflation watchers.<\/p>\n<p>Data out Friday showed hourly compensation growth is still running high at about 4 per cent year over year, more than the average of 3 per cent between 1999 and 2019, despite the deterioration in the labour market, said Matthieu Arseneau, an economist with National Bank of Canada.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_5\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment3002375194772388498207155094028288\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 5<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-5\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-loc=\"5\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[320,50],[300,50],[300,250]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-5\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p>As his chart shows, civil servants (the non-business sector) with pay rises of 6.3 per cent over the past year appear to be driving the numbers. Wage growth in the private sector (business sector on the chart) has settled back to the normal pace at 2.7 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSince the CPI basket is mostly produced by private firms, the current composition of wage pressures, concentrated among government employees, should mean less concern for the central bank\u2019s inflation outlook,\u201d said Arseneau.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1758643\" alt=\"\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/subhead_breaking.png\" width=\"838\"\/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Canada Post strike enters its fourth week. Calls for government intervention in the contract talks have been mounting from the business community, but the government has so far said it\u2019s not going to step in.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Today\u2019s Data:<\/strong> United States wholesale trade sales<\/li>\n<li><strong>Earnings:<\/strong> North West Co Inc., Oracle Corp.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr\/>\n<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3080180\" alt=\"\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/subhead_marketsam.jpeg\" width=\"838\"\/><\/strong><\/p>\n<figure class=\"embedded-image\"\/>\n<figure class=\"embedded-image\" data-aqa=\"embed-image\"><picture class=\"embedded-image__ratio\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=R078cbmSn1VgYI9lt2v9Ig,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=khZ11FIEdg_cKXzAsiNBHw 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=h5bahehIU9zgYXIzUo6olA,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=DOg_IEZ7Rm-ZFD3_lz3BAg 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=3Nw4CaWdbdY-bV7dsIJd2Q,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=2O9m_E9YQDS71t8BDAsiqQ 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=7cS8YcGQjmMnwxpPJld4ZA,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=AvSyVfZXJ7YHS0JF7rcUKw 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=bykQqFHyOlp-7M16LsilUQ,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=cAwG5PgAGghO1mF1MA5GLQ 2x\" media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"market chart\" class=\"embedded-image__image lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;sig=m4muE7racQpBnFCeYeWYuQ\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;sig=m4muE7racQpBnFCeYeWYuQ,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;sig=fge3_PUlAbRKdo_YVWP1PQ 2x\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart-1209-ph.jpg?quality=5&amp;strip=all&amp;w=100&amp;sig=jCce3T_arTWND4HCcFNQdQ\" height=\"410\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1000\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><figcaption class=\"image-caption\"><span class=\"caption\"> Financial Post<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3080181\" alt=\"\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/subhead_reads.jpeg\" width=\"838\"\/><\/strong><\/p>\n<section aria-labelledby=\"moreTopicLabel3447868378269812546064444228108288\" class=\"more-topic\" data-aqa=\"embed-more-topic\" data-carousel-component=\"\" data-carousel-icon-button=\"\" data-carousel-type=\"list\">\n<p>Recommended from Editorial<\/p>\n<p><button aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"more-topic__button-prev\" data-carousel-prev=\"\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"previous\" type=\"button\"\/><\/p>\n<ol class=\"more-topic__items list-unstyled\" data-carousel-slide-list=\"\" tabindex=\"0\">\n<li data-evt-val=\"{\" control_fields=\"\" economist=\"\" warns=\"\" on=\"\" tardy=\"\" federal=\"\" budget=\"\" update=\"\" data-carousel-item=\"\" data-evt=\"click\" data-evt-typ=\"click\"> <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland and cabinet ministers pose for a photo before the tabling of the federal budget in April. \" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/canada-budget-2024-Trudeau-Freeland-1.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=cuyYDjHis113cXPajU7zhQ\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/canada-budget-2024-Trudeau-Freeland-1.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=5&amp;sig=UPLi08H_zMdGE58W4pqojQ\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/canada-budget-2024-Trudeau-Freeland-1.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=cuyYDjHis113cXPajU7zhQ, https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/canada-budget-2024-Trudeau-Freeland-1.jpg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=HsjMtSxBPftswWx-qh1YZQ 2x,&#10;                                             https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/canada-budget-2024-Trudeau-Freeland-1.jpg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=BJCQicGIFSrD2gO9a6onMg 3x\" class=\"lazyload\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\">Scotiabank economist warns on tardy federal budget update<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-evt-val=\"{\" control_fields=\"\" retreats=\"\" from=\"\" the=\"\" edge=\"\" of=\"\" mortgage=\"\" renewal=\"\" cliff=\"\" data-carousel-item=\"\" data-evt=\"click\" data-evt-typ=\"click\"> <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"The asking rent for apartments across Canada fell in October.\" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/rents-1128-ph.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=VVm97SYUqSNMWwIZbfMmhQ\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/rents-1128-ph.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=5&amp;sig=jxUyyo8gn6XQCVoWN6XejA\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/rents-1128-ph.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=VVm97SYUqSNMWwIZbfMmhQ, https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/rents-1128-ph.jpg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=azhptvUtNtzWLjfJphI0oQ 2x,&#10;                                             https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/rents-1128-ph.jpg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=2uJJfXgIvpaPAZkdWBEaWg 3x\" class=\"lazyload\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\">Canada retreats from the edge of the mortgage renewal cliff<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><button aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"more-topic__button-next\" data-carousel-next=\"\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"next\" type=\"button\"\/><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_6\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment354064375499769657024614496206848\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 6<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-6\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-loc=\"6\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[320,50],[300,50],[300,250]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-6\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2059284\" alt=\"\" height=\"86\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/subhead_personal_finance_2.png\" width=\"629\"\/><\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">A 50-year-old DIY investor with a portfolio over $1 million and a reader worried about irrational markets ask how much they should pay attention to the news in their long-term savings decisions. Portfolio Manager John De Goey discusses rate cuts, asset bubbles and recessionary alarms, and how much those issues should play into investing decisions. Read more<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p data-async=\"\"><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">As inflation and the cost of living soar for Canadians, consumers are getting \u2018justifiably angry\u2019 about junk fees \u2014 We look at what the problem is, and what are some solutions. Read more\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<h2>McLister on mortgages<\/h2>\n<p data-async=\"\">Want to learn more about mortgages? Mortgage strategist Robert McLister\u2019s Financial Post column can help navigate the complex sector, from the latest trends to financing opportunities you won\u2019t want to miss. Plus check his mortgage rate page for Canada\u2019s lowest national mortgage rates, updated daily.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<h2>Financial Post on YouTube<\/h2>\n<p data-async=\"\">Visit the Financial Post\u2019s YouTube channel for interviews with Canada\u2019s leading experts in business, economics, housing, the energy sector and more.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p data-async=\"\"><em>Today\u2019s Posthaste was written by Pamela Heaven, with additional reporting from Financial Post staff, The Canadian Press and Bloomberg.<\/em><\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">Have a story idea, pitch, embargoed report, or a suggestion for this newsletter? Email us at\u00a0posthaste@postmedia.com.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p data-async=\"\"><em><strong>Bookmark our website and support our journalism:<\/strong> Don\u2019t miss the business news you need to know \u2014 add\u00a0financialpost.com\u00a0to your bookmarks and sign up for our newsletters here<\/em><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__share-group article-delimiter\" data-evt-val=\"{\" control_fields=\"\" data-evt-typ=\"page_scroll\">\n<p>Share this article in your social network<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<br \/>Bank of Canada will cut 50 bps, big bank economists say<\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>2024-12-09 13:05:08<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Breadcrumb Trail Links News Scotiabank and BMO join pack calling for 50-bps interest rate cut Published Dec 09, 2024 \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 Last updated 25\u00a0minutes ago \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 5 minute read You can&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":53745,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-53744","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53744\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/media\/53745"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}