{"id":45414,"date":"2024-03-27T14:21:03","date_gmt":"2024-03-27T14:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/2024\/03\/27\/this-central-bank-shift-could-go-down-in-history\/"},"modified":"2024-03-27T14:21:03","modified_gmt":"2024-03-27T14:21:03","slug":"this-central-bank-shift-could-go-down-in-history","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/2024\/03\/27\/this-central-bank-shift-could-go-down-in-history\/","title":{"rendered":"This central bank shift could go down in history"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<header aria-label=\"Beginning of Article\" class=\"article-header article-header--story\">\n<nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumb\" class=\"breadcrumbs\" data-aqa=\"nav-breadcrumb\">\n<p>Breadcrumb Trail Links<\/p>\n<ol class=\"breadcrumbs__items list-unstyled\">\n<li class=\"breadcrumbs__item\">Investor<\/li>\n<li class=\"breadcrumbs__item\">Financial Times<\/li>\n<li class=\"breadcrumbs__item\">Economy<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/nav>\n<div class=\"article-header__detail\">\n<div class=\"article-header__detail__texts\">\n<p class=\"article-subtitle\">Last week may mark a move away from strict inflation targeting by the world&#8217;s most influential central banks<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-meta\">\n<div class=\"wire-published-by\">\n<p class=\"visually-hidden\">Author of the article:<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"wire-published-by__author-container\">\n<p>Financial Times<\/p>\n<p>Mohamed El-Erian<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span class=\"published-date__since\">Published Mar 27, 2024<\/span> \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 <span class=\"updated-date__since\">Last updated 2\u00a0days ago<\/span> \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 <span class=\"published-date__word-count\">4 minute read<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"article-meta__bottom\">\n<div class=\"bookmark-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"popover\" data-aqa=\"popover\" data-click-to-appear=\"True\" data-container=\"\" data-container-offset=\"\" data-no-style=\"\" data-popover-component=\"\" data-position=\"top\" data-sticky=\"\" data-tail-offset=\"200\" data-tail-position=\"right\"><button class=\"popover__trigger bookmark-button\"><span class=\"save-article-button save-article-button--default\" title=\"Save article\" data-article-id=\"13a3ab97-15b2-487b-a46c-11cdf62e7426\" data-evt-skip-click=\"true\"\/><\/button><\/p>\n<div aria-describedby=\"popover-desc-popover-bookmark\" class=\"popover__content\" hidden=\"\" role=\"dialog\">\n<div class=\"popover__content__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"popover__content__text\" id=\"popover-desc-popover-bookmark\">\n<div class=\"bookmark__popover__content\">\n<p>You can save this article by registering for free here. Or sign-in if you have an account.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><button class=\"popover__content__close\" data-evt-skip-click=\"true\" title=\"Close\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" viewbox=\"0 0 12 12\" class=\"icon--close\" height=\"12\" version=\"1.1\" width=\"12\"><polygon points=\"12 0.95 11.05 0 6 5.05 0.95 0 0 0.95 5.05 6 0 11.05 0.95 12 6 6.95 11.05 12 12 11.05 6.95 6\"\/><\/svg><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"featured-image\" data-aqa=\"featured-image\"><picture class=\"featured-image__ratio\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;h=423&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=3M6XwNUHQ2ww3VfUnmAB4Q,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;h=846&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=k-0J7T8njI2b10XZDYPGdw 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;h=423&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=HxNi1RujGwqO3vtgo7wLkA,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;h=846&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=CvZloAl9s58i1qpWARWhHQ 2x\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;h=354&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=JuK6PPhghh7iFxqSkjr1XQ,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;h=708&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=ZokrTB4Xst4tvD27g1e8IQ 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;h=354&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=DHSqiAhFFqC2dD8007ES2g,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;h=708&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=kbW1RhuOBH5Pn1iFbBvWQw 2x\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;h=216&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=QBuo-NCYjLvogO4fzQnRCw,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;h=432&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=b77mqlFjOGRLIm3cAQJmqg 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"The United States Federal Reserve last week signalled a willingness to tolerate higher inflation for longer and an openness to slow the ongoing reduction in its balance sheet.\" class=\"featured-image__image type:primaryImage\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;h=216&amp;sig=QqC95vzk3QQlgYuW54Maag\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;h=216&amp;sig=QqC95vzk3QQlgYuW54Maag,&#10;                    https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/federal-reserve-0327-ph.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;h=432&amp;sig=E2fXQKXJ4pB6PQverG3y7g 2x\" height=\"750\" width=\"1000\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><figcaption class=\"featured-image__caption image-caption\"><span class=\"caption\">The United States Federal Reserve last week signalled a willingness to tolerate higher inflation for longer and an openness to slow the ongoing reduction in its balance sheet.<\/span> <span class=\"credit\">Photo by Andrew Harrer\/Bloomberg<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Article content<\/h2>\n<p><em><strong>By Mohamed El-Erian<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>It would not surprise me if future economic history books were to look back at the last week in central banking as marking a move away from strict inflation targeting by the world\u2019s most influential central banks.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p>While far from being definite or risk free, it is a shift that would be consistent with superior economic outcomes and stands a reasonable chance of working. And it is a policy approach that is likely to be superior to others as central banks tackle an operating environment that is particularly fluid economically and politically at domestic and global levels.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_2\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment8186313534264717817720123147943936\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 2<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-2\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[6,6],[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-interscroller=\"6x6\" data-ad-loc=\"2\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[6,6],[320,50],[300,50],[300,250],[300,600]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-2\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:600px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article-block article-block-bg article-content__sign-in-group hidden\" data-aqa=\"identity-sign-in\" data-async=\"\" id=\"article-block\">\n<section class=\"row\">\n<header class=\"identity-intro col-xs-12 col-md-6 flex-justify-center\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-10 col-md-10\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Financial Post\" class=\"market-logo\" height=\"37\" src=\"https:\/\/dcs-static.gprod.postmedia.digital\/15.7.3\/websites\/images\/identity\/logo-identity-fp.svg\" width=\"280\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"intro-body__premium hidden\">\n<p>THIS CONTENT IS RESERVED FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY<\/p>\n<p class=\"identity-intro__description\">Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-unstyled list-checkmark\">\n<li>Exclusive articles from Barbara Shecter, Joe O&#8217;Connor, Gabriel Friedman, Victoria Wells and others.<\/li>\n<li>Daily content from Financial Times, the world&#8217;s leading global business publication.<\/li>\n<li>Unlimited online access to read articles from Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.<\/li>\n<li>National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on.<\/li>\n<li>Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"intro-body__register hidden\">\n<p>SUBSCRIBE TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES<\/p>\n<p class=\"identity-intro__description\">Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-unstyled list-checkmark\">\n<li>Exclusive articles from Barbara Shecter, Joe O&#8217;Connor, Gabriel Friedman, Victoria Wells and others.<\/li>\n<li>Daily content from Financial Times, the world&#8217;s leading global business publication.<\/li>\n<li>Unlimited online access to read articles from Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.<\/li>\n<li>National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on.<\/li>\n<li>Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"intro-body__anonymous\">\n<p>REGISTER \/ SIGN IN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES<\/p>\n<p class=\"identity-intro__description\">Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-unstyled list-checkmark\">\n<li>Access articles from across Canada with one account.<\/li>\n<li>Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments.<\/li>\n<li>Enjoy additional articles per month.<\/li>\n<li>Get email updates from your favourite authors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"identity-screen m-x-0 p-x-0 col-xs-12 col-md-6 flex-justify-center flex-align-center\" aria-live=\"assertive\">\n<section class=\"sail\" data-account-id=\"b9d3df2fccd108b5eff3c44f573b2cd6\" data-sailthru-personalization-engine=\"\" data-sailthru-personalization-engine-component=\"\"\/>\n<div class=\"m-x-0 p-x-0 col-xs-12 col-sm-6 col-md-12 flex-align-justify-center\" data-auth-component=\"\" id=\"auth-screen-form\">\n<div class=\"identity-screen-form--active w-full flex-align-justify-center\">\n<div class=\"identity-screen-form identity-screen__content w-full\">\n<h2 class=\"blocker-title\">Sign In or Create an Account<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"identity-divider__line\"\/><span class=\"identity-divider__text\">or<\/span><span class=\"identity-divider__line\"\/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<footer class=\"identity-footer identity-screen__content m-x-0 p-x-0 col-sm-6 col-md-12\"\/><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">It is not often that you see a reputable central bank revise up its inflation and growth projections and yet strengthen a dovish tilt to its policy stance. Yet that is what happened in Washington last week when the United States Federal Reserve raised those projections up a notch and yet delivered two consequential signals: a willingness to tolerate higher inflation for longer and an openness to slow the ongoing reduction in its balance sheet.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p>Reacting to these unexpected signals of monetary policy patience, markets pushed stocks and gold significantly higher to record levels. Moreover, bond prices rose as traders became more confident that the Fed might cut interest rates as early as June despite hotter-than-expected inflation reports for January and February.<\/p>\n<p>Fed chair Jay Powell justified the central bank\u2019s stance by saying the inflation story was \u201cessentially the same\u201d despite this data and the upward revision in its own inflation projections.<\/p>\n<h2>Fed not the only dove<\/h2>\n<p data-async=\"\">But the Fed was not the only central bank that markets deemed surprisingly dovish. Two days before the Fed, the Bank of Japan wrapped its first interest rate increase in 17 years in dovish packaging. Despite the Bank of Japan also announcing an exit from its policy of capping bond yields, the yen weakened against the dollar rather than appreciated on the news that Japan was the last central bank to move nominal interest rates into positive territory.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"js-widget-content article-content__widget-group article-content__widget-group--content-slot20 article-content__widget-group--newsletter-slot\">\n<section class=\"newsletter-widget__new-story-page None background--primary-light-gradient\" aria-labelledby=\"FPInvestor8204303159300668637858227791331328\" data-account-id=\"b9d3df2fccd108b5eff3c44f573b2cd6\" data-aqa=\"widget-newsletter\" data-newsletter=\"single\" data-newsletter-component=\"\" data-target-list=\"FP_Investor\" data-widget=\"newsletter\">\n<div class=\"newsletter-new-story-page-template\">\n<div class=\"newsletter-widget__header__new-story-page\">\n<div class=\"newsletter-widget__banner__new-story-page\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"FP Investor Banner\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/dcs-static.gprod.postmedia.digital\/15.7.3\/websites\/images\/newsletters\/icon-fp-investor.svg\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Investor<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page\">Canada&#8217;s best source for investing news, analysis and insight.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"newsletter-widget__body__new-story-page\">\n<div class=\"js-replace-main__new-story-page\">\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__disclaimer__new-story-page text-size--tiny\">By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"js-submit-success\" hidden=\"\" id=\"submitSuccessFP_Investor\">\n<p>Thanks for signing up!<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page\">A welcome email is on its way. If you don&#8217;t see it, please check your junk folder.<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page newsletter__feedback--last\">The next issue of Investor will soon be in your inbox.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page js-submit-error\" style=\"margin-top: 8px\" hidden=\"\" id=\"submitErrorFP_Investor\">We encountered an issue signing you up. Please try again<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_3\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment8450827493866045566911061990309888\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 3<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-3\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[7,7],[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-interscroller=\"7x7\" data-ad-loc=\"3\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[7,7],[300,250],[320,50],[300,50]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-3\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">Japan\u2019s hotter-than-expected inflation made its \u201cdovish hike\u201d even more notable, pushing the currency close to a 32-year low. The dovish central bank surprises did not stop there. A day after the Fed meeting, the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly cut its interest rates, knocking about one per cent off the value of its currency.<\/p>\n<p>Now, each of these moves could be explained by country-specific factors. Undoubtedly, and using a clever distinction I heard years ago from my former Pacific Investment Management Co. LLC colleague Andrew Balls, last week\u2019s central bank outcomes were correlated rather than co-ordinated.<\/p>\n<h2>Paradigm shift<\/h2>\n<p>Having said that, they are consistent with a bigger macroeconomic paradigm shift that central banks will eventually be forced to embrace in an explicit fashion. Every week, we seem to get a new sign that the supply side of the global economy is working less flexibly than before and, crucially, than needed.<\/p>\n<p>The causes range from economic rigidities and structural transitions to geopolitical shocks and the trumping of national security over economics in determining key cross-border investment, technology and trading relations. The result is a supply side that will not easily allow inflation to quickly fall back to two per cent and stay there without unnecessary damage to economic well-being and financial stability.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_4\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment3262618512030051989173299471974400\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 4<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-4\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-loc=\"4\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[320,50],[300,50],[300,250]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-4\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p>Do not get me wrong. We will not get big announcements of a change to inflation targets, not when central banks have missed their targets so much after mischaracterizing inflation as \u201ctransitory\u201d three years ago.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, it will be a slow progression, led by the Fed. Central banks will first push out expectations on the timing of the journey to two per cent and then, well down the road, transition to an inflation target based on a range, say two per cent to three per cent.<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">Some will view this as further undermining central bank credibility and threatening the de-anchoring of inflationary expectations. They will point to the horrible experience of the 1970s, when central bankers prematurely declared victory over inflation only to see it head back up, requiring the imposition of a big recession to bring it under durable control.<\/p>\n<section aria-labelledby=\"moreTopicLabel469005989591246810703120799105024\" class=\"more-topic\" data-aqa=\"embed-more-topic\" data-carousel-component=\"\" data-carousel-icon-button=\"\" data-carousel-type=\"list\">\n<p>Recommended from Editorial<\/p>\n<p><button aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"more-topic__button-prev\" data-carousel-prev=\"\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"previous\" type=\"button\"\/><\/p>\n<ol class=\"more-topic__items list-unstyled\" data-carousel-slide-list=\"\" tabindex=\"0\">\n<li data-evt-val=\"{\" control_fields=\"\" should=\"\" still=\"\" expect=\"\" a=\"\" bumpy=\"\" road=\"\" ahead=\"\" data-carousel-item=\"\" data-evt=\"click\" data-evt-typ=\"click\"> <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Mohamed El-Erian says investors should resist the pull of comforting convergence narratives.&#10;\" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=DIewEr_veqFav3ViMHfDdQ\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=5&amp;sig=-kVEuZwniV4odtRcpO81-A\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=DIewEr_veqFav3ViMHfDdQ, https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=2le0RiiULMOm0P9qTbJXBA 2x,&#10;                                             https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=OdJ-KuCTTUs3FFKif5X_dQ 3x\" class=\"lazyload\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\">Investors should still expect a bumpy road ahead<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-evt-val=\"{\" control_fields=\"\" passive=\"\" investing=\"\" makes=\"\" less=\"\" sense=\"\" now=\"\" data-carousel-item=\"\" data-evt=\"click\" data-evt-typ=\"click\"> <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Mohamed El-Erian says investors now need to pay more attention to individual security selection given ongoing shifts in the investing environment.&#10;\" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=ZVayQSG4USQQ7-Jfi267hA\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=5&amp;sig=F_VuMIvCF6xDXbjNuzn2hA\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=ZVayQSG4USQQ7-Jfi267hA, https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=mya8WOTIJPY-xJiznnVVkg 2x,&#10;                                             https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Mohamed-El-Erian.jpg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=3lHBY8QorDetTMIVqMa6Jw 3x\" class=\"lazyload\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\">Why passive investing makes less sense now<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-evt-val=\"{\" control_fields=\"\" mutual=\"\" fund=\"\" turns=\"\" is=\"\" it=\"\" becoming=\"\" obsolete=\"\" data-carousel-item=\"\" data-evt=\"click\" data-evt-typ=\"click\"> <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"A pedestrian passes in front of BlackRock Inc. headquarters in New York, U.S.\" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/no0321blackrock.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=sPHPqOjQiVlBrNsadFdQIg\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/no0321blackrock.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=5&amp;sig=orc6yWtNOO8DvuIehfeOmQ\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/no0321blackrock.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=sPHPqOjQiVlBrNsadFdQIg, https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/no0321blackrock.jpg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=PDBsIeOGHZef6JvFSVckZA 2x,&#10;                                             https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/no0321blackrock.jpg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=JTmvclYsETodVUjfN9HoTg 3x\" class=\"lazyload\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\">The mutual fund turns 100: is it becoming obsolete?<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><button aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"more-topic__button-next\" data-carousel-next=\"\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"next\" type=\"button\"\/><\/section>\n<p data-async=\"\">This possibility is a small risk and one that is justified in taking by the potential upside for overall economic wellbeing. It would be particularly impactful if accompanied by additional government measures to promote more flexible supply, including by focusing on greater labour force participation, better skill retooling, improved infrastructure and more public-private partnership to advance tomorrow\u2019s engines of growth, particularly in generative artificial intelligence, life sciences and green energy.<\/p>\n<p><em>Mohamed El-Erian is president of Queens\u2019 College, Cambridge, and an adviser to Allianz and Gramercy<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a9 2024 The Financial Times Ltd.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__share-group article-delimiter\" data-evt-val=\"{\" control_fields=\"\" data-evt-typ=\"page_scroll\">\n<p>Share this article in your social network<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<br \/>This central bank shift could go down in history<\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>2024-03-27 14:21:03<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Breadcrumb Trail Links Investor Financial Times Economy Last week may mark a move away from strict inflation targeting by the world&#8217;s most influential central banks Author of the article: Financial&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":45415,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45414","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45414","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45414"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45414\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/media\/45415"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45414"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45414"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45414"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}