{"id":42697,"date":"2024-01-11T19:12:08","date_gmt":"2024-01-11T19:12:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/2024\/01\/11\/trudeau-botched-immigration-surge-canadas-top-bank-economists-say\/"},"modified":"2024-01-11T19:12:08","modified_gmt":"2024-01-11T19:12:08","slug":"trudeau-botched-immigration-surge-canadas-top-bank-economists-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/2024\/01\/11\/trudeau-botched-immigration-surge-canadas-top-bank-economists-say\/","title":{"rendered":"Trudeau botched immigration surge, Canada&#8217;s top bank economists say"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<header aria-label=\"Beginning of Article\" class=\"article-header article-header--story\">\n<nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumb\" class=\"breadcrumbs\" data-aqa=\"nav-breadcrumb\">\n<p>Breadcrumb Trail Links<\/p>\n<ol class=\"breadcrumbs__items list-unstyled\">\n<li class=\"breadcrumbs__item\">News<\/li>\n<li class=\"breadcrumbs__item\">Economy<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/nav>\n<div class=\"article-header__detail\">\n<div class=\"article-header__detail__texts\">\n<p class=\"article-subtitle\">Rapid population growth causing economic damage and needs to be reconsidered<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-meta\">\n<div class=\"wire-published-by\">\n<p class=\"visually-hidden\">Author of the article:<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"wire-published-by__author-container\">\n<p>Bloomberg News<\/p>\n<p>Danielle Bochove<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span class=\"published-date__since\">Published Jan 11, 2024<\/span> \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 <span class=\"updated-date__since\">Last updated 18\u00a0hours ago<\/span> \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 <span class=\"published-date__word-count\">4 minute read<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"featured-image\" data-aqa=\"featured-image\"><picture class=\"featured-image__ratio\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;h=423&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=0IIM1dhbMlm6HcHK5HBv0g,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;h=846&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=KY6zR_pQ3ThKm6xU9IHGZQ 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;h=423&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=L7CBocGvl3gKMhK4wrkHYA,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;h=846&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=cLbbhPizEPeblxlhCTsmGg 2x\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;h=354&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=kSeKGI6pcdUyJMULeVKnfQ,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;h=708&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=-QK6974GQsxkegPSuOZKfw 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;h=354&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=dBnUv3ezYdwI6gvUjpVN_g,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;h=708&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=F25u47-SzmdiaqTvB-Aulw 2x\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;h=216&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=0PfNZX_Fwk8_DWYXBwnA1Q,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;h=432&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=iQuX6mvb0EPXMYi6rcbNdQ 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Canada accepted about 455,000 new permanent residents in the year to Oct. 1 while bringing in more than 800,000 non-permanent residents.\" class=\"featured-image__image type:primaryImage\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;h=216&amp;sig=raOoAdku_5FiEMrnAvUKHA\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;h=216&amp;sig=raOoAdku_5FiEMrnAvUKHA,&#10;                    https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-canada-vw0111.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;h=432&amp;sig=gDTX2gZudvRmLUPM7uofgQ 2x\" height=\"750\" width=\"1000\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><figcaption class=\"featured-image__caption image-caption\"><span class=\"caption\">Canada accepted about 455,000 new permanent residents in the year to Oct. 1 while bringing in more than 800,000 non-permanent residents.<\/span> <span class=\"credit\">Photo by Peter J. Thompson\/National Post<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Article content<\/h2>\n<p data-async=\"\">Canada\u2019s current immigration policy \u2014 among the most open in the world \u2014 is now causing economic damage and needs to be reconsidered, according to the country\u2019s top economists.<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">Prime Minister Justin Trudeau\u2019s decision to dramatically increase immigration \u2014 and allow a flood of temporary workers and international students \u2014 without providing proper support has created a laundry list of economic problems, including higher inflation and weak productivity, chief economists at Canada\u2019s biggest banks said Jan. 11 during a wide-ranging panel discussion in Toronto.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_2\">\n<section 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col-md-10\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Financial Post\" class=\"market-logo\" height=\"37\" src=\"https:\/\/dcs-static.gprod.postmedia.digital\/15.2.1\/websites\/images\/identity\/logo-identity-fp.svg\" width=\"280\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"intro-body__premium hidden\">\n<p>THIS CONTENT IS RESERVED FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY<\/p>\n<p class=\"identity-intro__description\">Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-unstyled list-checkmark\">\n<li>Exclusive articles from Barbara Shecter, Joe O&#8217;Connor, Gabriel Friedman, Victoria Wells and others.<\/li>\n<li>Daily content from Financial Times, the world&#8217;s leading global business publication.<\/li>\n<li>Unlimited online access to read articles from Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.<\/li>\n<li>National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on.<\/li>\n<li>Daily 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class=\"identity-intro__description\">Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-unstyled list-checkmark\">\n<li>Access articles from across Canada with one account.<\/li>\n<li>Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments.<\/li>\n<li>Enjoy additional articles per month.<\/li>\n<li>Get email updates from your favourite authors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">\u201cFrankly I\u2019m surprised we screwed it up because we sit in such a privileged position in Canada,\u201d Beata Caranci, chief economist at Toronto-Dominion Bank, told a packed audience at an Economic Club of Canada event.<\/p>\n<p>Unlike many other countries, including the United States, Canada is not dealing with poorly controlled flows of migrants across its land borders and has had time to think about the implications of its policies, Caranci said. \u201cWe designed our own policy, we put it in place, we implemented it, and we still screwed it up.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>We designed our own policy, we put it in place, we implemented it, and we still screwed it up<\/p>\n<p>Beata Cranci, chief economist, TD Bank<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Canada accepted about 455,000 new permanent residents in the year to Oct. 1 while bringing in more than 800,000 non-permanent residents, a category that includes temporary workers, foreign students and refugees. With a population growth rate of 3.2 per cent, it\u2019s growing faster than any Group of Seven nation, China or India.<\/p>\n<p>While there are annual targets for permanent residents, there is no cap on international-student permits and the government has made it easier for employers to hire temporary foreign workers.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"embedded-image\" data-aqa=\"embed-image\"><picture class=\"embedded-image__ratio\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=1OUWfq82U26D8n7GoB6KSA,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=XiRI01hJFfDORosX4n4Jtg 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=bxYIdBcHLjFw9YJE1LuvCQ,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=GgLYiCMjZxG7STQvogn4Dw 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=QUI_KD2oz6P2VI5kEq2XOw,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=G3jME9JeAjRzPc8RlaIcpg 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=F4A7c6cvEcyNaGYbvhg0bw,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=jpg&amp;sig=xY4DjvaqJ0BiF0x9AEK56w 2x\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><source data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=6vCZ1JYsXLaWsyvOvzB0EQ,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;type=webp&amp;sig=YK7kwaa8Lr-glxdVU6h6Yg 2x\" media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"data:,1w\" type=\"image\/webp\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Canada population growth\" class=\"embedded-image__image lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;sig=8fR85Gwt2h9iNjvvuaOQxw\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;sig=8fR85Gwt2h9iNjvvuaOQxw,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;sig=OvJngLOxUPHo6K5sqsuesA 2x\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/qw_Canadas_Population_Growing_at.jpeg?quality=5&amp;strip=all&amp;w=100&amp;sig=jFkqpSU_y-XkSU6daYP-aQ\" height=\"563\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1000\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/figure>\n<h2>\u2018Population trap\u2019<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019ll put it bluntly: We\u2019ve fallen into the population trap,\u201d said St\u00e9fane Marion, chief economist at National Bank of Canada. An increase in the standard of living is no longer possible because \u201cyou don\u2019t have enough savings to stabilize your capital to labour ratio.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"js-widget-content article-content__widget-group article-content__widget-group--content-slot23 article-content__widget-group--newsletter-slot\">\n<section class=\"newsletter-widget__new-story-page fp-headlinenews background--primary-light-gradient\" aria-labelledby=\"FinancialPostTopStories6655064021828801417304894733287424\" data-account-id=\"b9d3df2fccd108b5eff3c44f573b2cd6\" data-aqa=\"widget-newsletter\" data-newsletter=\"single\" data-newsletter-component=\"\" data-target-list=\"FP_HeadlineNews\" data-widget=\"newsletter\">\n<div class=\"newsletter-new-story-page-template\">\n<div class=\"newsletter-widget__header__new-story-page\">\n<div class=\"newsletter-widget__banner__new-story-page\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Top Stories\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/dcs-static.gprod.postmedia.digital\/15.2.1\/websites\/images\/newsletters\/icon-fp-topStories.svg\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Top Stories<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page\">Get the latest headlines, breaking news and columns.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"newsletter-widget__body__new-story-page\">\n<div class=\"js-replace-main__new-story-page\">\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__disclaimer__new-story-page text-size--tiny\">By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"js-submit-success\" hidden=\"\" id=\"submitSuccessFP_HeadlineNews\">\n<p>Thanks for signing up!<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page\">A welcome email is on its way. If you don&#8217;t see it, please check your junk folder.<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page newsletter__feedback--last\">The next issue of Top Stories will soon be in your inbox.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"newsletter-widget__text__new-story-page js-submit-error\" style=\"margin-top: 8px\" hidden=\"\" id=\"submitErrorFP_HeadlineNews\">We encountered an issue signing you up. Please try again<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_3\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment4682364204069599869134399493636096\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 3<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-3\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[7,7],[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-interscroller=\"7x7\" data-ad-loc=\"3\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[7,7],[300,250],[320,50],[300,50]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-3\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p>Faced with a backlash over housing costs, Trudeau has acknowledged a need for changes. His immigration minister, Marc Miller, has pledged to make it harder for colleges to boost foreign enrolment without providing adequate housing or services. Still, the government is under pressure to maintain high immigration levels as older workers retire and the fertility rate falls.<\/p>\n<p>While the federal government is trying to encourage more rental housing construction along the way, \u201cthe numbers just don\u2019t add up,\u201d said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets. \u201cI\u2019m a bit surprised that the government is moving fairly slowly on this. I think there\u2019s some urgency to bring these numbers of students and temporary workers into better balance with the arithmetic of our homebuilding strategy, because the two are working at cross-purposes.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The problem is worsened in provinces that have restricted funding to post-secondary institutions, forcing the schools to make up the lost revenue with international students, Shenfeld said. The result is community colleges with \u201cbranch plants\u201d full of international students in Toronto office buildings, he said. \u201cIt\u2019s just really a tuition-making machine.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_4\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment9475666432487959387570304379256832\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 4<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-4\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-loc=\"4\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[320,50],[300,50],[300,250]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-4\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p>None of the economists suggested Canada should shift to a restrictive immigration policy, rather that it be more deliberate about matching the inflow of people to what the country can handle.<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">Canada has tended to rely on immigration to staunch complaints from businesses about their difficulty hiring, several economists said. While that\u2019s understandable, \u201cin a way we made it too easy for businesses to hire,\u201d said Jean-Francois Perrault, chief economist at Bank of Nova Scotia. He pointed to the U.S., which has much tougher immigration policies and higher productivity. \u201cImmigration policy made it cheaper to bring people in rather than investing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">Disastrously weak productivity and housing affordability are the biggest challenges facing the Canadian economy, said Douglas Porter, Bank of Montreal\u2019s chief economist, and strong population growth is clearly a factor for both.<\/p>\n<p>There are other factors at play, of course. A lack of innovation and business investment have weighed on Canadian productivity for decades, said Craig Wright, chief economist at Royal Bank of Canada. He said soaring rents aren\u2019t just caused by immigration pressure \u2014 high house prices and interest rates are pushing permanent residents out of home ownership into rental housing.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group ad_counter_5\">\n<section aria-describedby=\"advertisment8258641813129247061540106491920384\" class=\"ad\">\n<p>Advertisement 5<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-5\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-loc=\"5\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[320,50],[300,50],[300,250]]\" data-aqa=\"advertisement\" id=\"ad-5\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p>This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">A Desjardins Securities Inc. report this week found that if Canada were to shut the door to temporary residents right now, real gross domestic product would drop and the recession would last twice as long.<\/p>\n<section aria-labelledby=\"moreTopicLabel8558977392712387293823451525021696\" class=\"more-topic\" data-aqa=\"embed-more-topic\" data-carousel-component=\"\" data-carousel-icon-button=\"\" data-carousel-type=\"list\">\n<p>Recommended from Editorial<\/p>\n<p><button aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"more-topic__button-prev\" data-carousel-prev=\"\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"previous\" type=\"button\"\/><\/p>\n<ol class=\"more-topic__items list-unstyled\" data-carousel-slide-list=\"\" tabindex=\"0\">\n<li class=\"more-topic__item\" data-carousel-item=\"\"> <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/nationalpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-0110-ph.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=MTUk2nrB4X34Vd0Cx_sU8g\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/nationalpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-0110-ph.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=MTUk2nrB4X34Vd0Cx_sU8g, https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/nationalpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-0110-ph.jpg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=Zdp-oi57tl2zttykb8E8sg 2x,&#10;                                             https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/nationalpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/immigration-0110-ph.jpg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=R3yRIr4foUgNi4Zm5P9Qhw 3x\" alt=\"immigration\" class=\"lazyload\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\">What closing door to temporary residents could do to economy<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"more-topic__item\" data-carousel-item=\"\"> <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Surveys show the high cost of living is hurting Prime Minister Justin Trudeau politically.\" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/justin-trudeau-0111.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=OSOtW9AHm8bP8JyqdirKmw\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/justin-trudeau-0111.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=5&amp;sig=C1aRu6_KH0LaaqRKlZHBNg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/justin-trudeau-0111.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=OSOtW9AHm8bP8JyqdirKmw, https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/justin-trudeau-0111.jpg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=Mn-BMf8gUZ7iqVbDZW4Dfg 2x,&#10;                                             https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/justin-trudeau-0111.jpg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=DwTbyWcFkhoTZbZ3j_0dcA 3x\" class=\"lazyload\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\">Canadians give Trudeau low marks for housing affordability<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"more-topic__item\" data-carousel-item=\"\"> <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Canada would need to build 170,000 new homes every three months at this rate of population growth, says economist. \" data-src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/housing-market-1220-ph.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=gjjeb4rd-buQzpv4v8dVBw\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/housing-market-1220-ph.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=5&amp;sig=FaGb_5_oQn2QvskoFmNkXw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/housing-market-1220-ph.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=gjjeb4rd-buQzpv4v8dVBw, https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/housing-market-1220-ph.jpg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=gVJUlw9V7Uz8zKTeI2w3QQ 2x,&#10;                                             https:\/\/smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/housing-market-1220-ph.jpg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80&amp;sig=G9Evv8u3xu-8lFACkYDFoA 3x\" class=\"lazyload\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\">Record population growth risks aggravating housing headaches<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><button aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"more-topic__button-next\" data-carousel-next=\"\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"next\" type=\"button\"\/><\/section>\n<p data-async=\"\">That leaves the Bank of Canada in a difficult spot and explains why it will have to cut rates in 2024, Caranci said, even though housing costs are still forcing inflation above its two per cent target. She expects the central bank will start to shift its communication \u2014 and remind markets that inflation is about breadth and they are not solely responsible for shelter inflation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf they don\u2019t do that, you absolutely get into a recession scenario and potentially a hard recession scenario,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u2014With assistance from Erik Hertzberg and Laura Dhillon Kane.<\/em><\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\"><em>Bloomberg.com<\/em><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group article-content__content-group--story\">\n<p>Article content<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"article-content__share-group article-delimiter\" data-evt-val=\"{\" control_fields=\"\" data-evt-typ=\"page_scroll\">\n<p>Share this article in your social network<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n<br \/>Trudeau botched immigration surge, Canada&#8217;s top bank economists say<\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>2024-01-11 19:12:08<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Breadcrumb Trail Links News Economy Rapid population growth causing economic damage and needs to be reconsidered Author of the article: Bloomberg News Danielle Bochove Published Jan 11, 2024 \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 Last&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":42698,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-42697","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42697","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42697"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42697\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/media\/42698"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42697"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42697"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42697"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}