{"id":15774,"date":"2021-11-05T13:46:28","date_gmt":"2021-11-05T13:46:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/2021\/11\/05\/canadas-job-gains-shift-into-lower-gear\/"},"modified":"2021-11-05T13:46:28","modified_gmt":"2021-11-05T13:46:28","slug":"canadas-job-gains-shift-into-lower-gear","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pantheregroup.com\/2021\/11\/05\/canadas-job-gains-shift-into-lower-gear\/","title":{"rendered":"Canada\u2019s job gains shift into lower gear"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<header aria-label=\"Beginning of Article\" class=\"article-header\">\n<nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumb\" class=\"breadcrumbs\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Breadcrumb Trail Links<\/h2>\n<ol class=\"breadcrumbs__items list-unstyled\">\n<li class=\"breadcrumbs__item\"> News <\/li>\n<li class=\"breadcrumbs__item\"> FP Economy <\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/nav>\n<p class=\"article-subtitle\"> Kevin Carmichael: The labour market is far from healed from the epic recession caused by the COVID-19 lockdowns in March 2020 <\/p>\n<div class=\"article-meta\">\n<div class=\"published-by\">\n<p>Author of the article:<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"published-by__author\">FP Economics Editor, Kevin Carmichael<\/span> <\/div>\n<div class=\"published-date\">\n<p>Publishing date:<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"published-date__since\">Nov 05, 2021<\/span> \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 <span class=\"updated-date__since\">8\u00a0minutes ago<\/span> \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 <span class=\"published-date__word-count\">3 minute read<\/span> \u00a0\u2022\u00a0 <span>  <span class=\"comment-bubble\"> <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"16\"><path d=\"M4,0 C2.93914,0 1.921718,0.421428 1.171572,1.171572 C0.421428,1.921718 0,2.93914 0,4 L0,24 L3.846,20.158 L4,20.16 L20,20.16 C21.0608,20.16 22.0782,19.73858 22.8284,18.98842 C23.5786,18.23828 24,17.22086 24,16.16 L24,4 C24,2.93914 23.5786,1.921718 22.8284,1.171572 C22.0782,0.421428 21.0608,0 20,0 L4,0 Z M2,4 C2,3.46956 2.21072,2.96086 2.58578,2.58578 C2.96086,2.21072 3.46956,2 4,2 L20,2 C20.5304,2 21.0392,2.21072 21.4142,2.58578 C21.7892,2.96086 22,3.46956 22,4 L22,16.16 C22,16.69044 21.7892,17.19914 21.4142,17.57422 C21.0392,17.94928 20.5304,18.16 20,18.16 L4,18.16 L3.048,18.126 L2,19.174 L2,4 Z\"\/><\/svg><\/span> 5 Comments  <\/span> <\/div><\/div>\n<figure class=\"featured-image\"><picture class=\"featured-image__ratio featured-image-category__economy\"><source media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;type=webp,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;type=webp 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><source media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=564&amp;type=jpg,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=1128&amp;type=jpg 2x\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"\/><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=webp,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=webp 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=472&amp;type=jpg,&#10;                https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=944&amp;type=jpg 2x\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"\/><source media=\"(max-width: 767px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=288&amp;type=webp,&#10;            https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiring1105.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;w=576&amp;type=webp 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><\/picture><figcaption class=\"featured-image__caption image-caption\"><span class=\"caption\">Canada gained 31,000 jobs in October. <\/span> <span class=\"credit\">Photo by John Lappa\/Sudbury Star\/Postmedia Network<\/span> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/header>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Article content<\/h2>\n<p>Canadian employers added roughly 31,000 jobs in October, a mediocre result that suggests the recovery from the COVID-19 recession could be slowing to a more sustainable pace.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group\">\n<section class=\"ad\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Advertisement<\/h2>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-2\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[6,6],[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-interscroller=\"6x6\" data-ad-loc=\"2\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[6,6],[320,50],[300,50],[300,250],[300,600]]\" id=\"ad-2\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:600px\">\n<div class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p> This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Article content<\/h2>\n<p>Bay Street economists had predicted the economy would add about 50,000 positions last month, after creating more than 157,000 in September as COVID restrictions loosened and vaccination rates continued to rise. The increase that Statistics Canada recorded in its latest Labour Force Survey was less than the poll\u2019s margin of error, suggesting employment was little changed.<\/p>\n<p>The unemployment rate decreased to 6.7 per cent from 6.9 per cent, the fifth consecutive monthly decline. Employment in retail increased by some 77,000 positions, a large gain that pushed jobs in the industry back above pre-pandemic levels for the first time since March 2021, the eve of another wave of COVID-19 infections that forced provinces to tighten social distancing rules.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group\">\n<section class=\"ad\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Advertisement<\/h2>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-3\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[7,7],[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-interscroller=\"7x7\" data-ad-loc=\"3\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[7,7],[300,250],[320,50],[300,50]]\" id=\"ad-3\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p> This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Article content<\/h2>\n<p>Average hourly wages were up 5.1 per cent from 2019, according to a gauge that Statistics Canada uses to smooth out volatility caused by the recession. Wage growth at that pace implies that many households have received pay increases that are in line with inflation, reducing the impact of the price spikes that have come with the recovery from the pandemic. At the same time, wage gains at that pace are outside the norm and could cause central bankers to worry that higher wages are a signal that inflation expectations are rising, creating a feedback loop that could cause price pressures to become entrenched.<\/p>\n<section aria-labelledby=\"moreTopicLabel6889168241207140333436232689521834\" class=\"more-topic\" data-carousel-component=\"\" data-carousel-icon-button=\"\" data-carousel-type=\"list\"> <button aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"more-topic__button-prev\" data-carousel-prev=\"\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"previous\" type=\"button\"\/> <\/p>\n<ol class=\"more-topic__items list-unstyled\" data-carousel-slide-list=\"\" tabindex=\"0\">\n<li class=\"more-topic__item\" data-carousel-item=\"\">  <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Prime Minister Justin Trudeau promised vaccine mandates as a central part of his successful campaign for re-election in September, setting a precedent that has spread from the public to the private sector.\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/vw1103mandate.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/vw1103mandate.jpg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80,&#10;                                    https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/vw1103mandate.jpg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80 2x,&#10;                                    https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/financialpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/vw1103mandate.jpg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80 3x\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<h3 class=\"more-topic__item-text\"> <span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\"> Thousands of unvaccinated Canadian employees are being fired or put on leave, squeezing already tight labour market <\/span> <\/h3>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"more-topic__item\" data-carousel-item=\"\">  <picture class=\"more-topic__item-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"None\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/nationalpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/trucks1103.jpeg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80\" height=\"96\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/nationalpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/trucks1103.jpeg?h=96&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80,&#10;                                    https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/nationalpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/trucks1103.jpeg?h=192&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80 2x,&#10;                                    https:\/\/smartcdn.prod.postmedia.digital\/nationalpost\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/trucks1103.jpeg?h=288&amp;strip=all&amp;quality=80 3x\" width=\"96\"\/><\/picture>\n<h3 class=\"more-topic__item-text\"> <span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\"> Why the post-pandemic economy is humbling forecasters <\/span> <\/h3>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"more-topic__item\" data-carousel-item=\"\">\n<h3 class=\"more-topic__item-text\"> <span class=\"more-topic__item-text-clamp\"> &#8216;Workers deserve to have more money&#8217;: Doug Ford hikes Ontario minimum wage to $15 <\/span> <\/h3>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><button aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"more-topic__button-next\" data-carousel-next=\"\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"next\" type=\"button\"\/> <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group\">\n<section class=\"ad\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Advertisement<\/h2>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-4\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-loc=\"4\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[320,50],[300,50],[300,250]]\" id=\"ad-4\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p> This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Article content<\/h2>\n<p>Overall, the latest hiring numbers support the Bank of Canada\u2019s story about how the recovery is unfolding. The central bank expressed confidence in the economy last week, characterizing both overall growth and the labour market as \u201crobust.\u201d The total number of jobs in the economy surpassed its pre-pandemic level in September, and the participation rate, which measures the number of people working and actively seeking employment, has risen to around 65.5 per cent, the same as at the start of 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Still, the labour market is far from healed from the epic recession caused by the COVID-19 lockdowns in March 2020.<\/p>\n<p>The jobless rate was hovering around a record low of 5.5 per cent when the crisis began, and employers still need to add another 170,000 jobs to get to where the pre-pandemic trend of hiring would have taken overall employment if not for the recession, according to Citigroup Global Markets Inc. economist Veronica Clark\u2019s rough calculations. Statistics Canada\u2019s \u201cunderutilization rate,\u201d which measures the unemployed, the number of people who want a job but haven\u2019t looked for one, and employees who are working less than half their usual hours, dropped to 13.1 per cent in October, elevated compared with 11.4 per cent in February 2020.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"ad__section-border article-content__ad-group\">\n<section class=\"ad\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Advertisement<\/h2>\n<div class=\"ad__container\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner\" id=\"ad__inner-5\">\n<div class=\"ad__inner__container\" data-ad=\"[[1200,250],[1200,90],[970,90],[970,250],[728,90],[300,250]]\" data-ad-loc=\"5\" data-ad-mobile=\"[[320,50],[300,50],[300,250]]\" id=\"ad-5\" style=\"--desktopHeight:250px;--mobileHeight:250px\">\n<div class=\"ad__placeholder\">\n<p> This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<section class=\"article-content__content-group\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Article content<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cA bit of a ho-hum report that will make little impact on the timing of any rate moves by the Bank of Canada,\u201d said Douglas Porter, chief economist at Bank of Montreal. \u201cBut after the wildness of the prior 18 months, no one is complaining about ho-hum.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\"><em>\u2022 Email: kcarmichael@postmedia.com | Twitter: <a class=\"twitter-follow-button\" data-evt=\"click\" data-evt-typ=\"User Interaction Click\" data-evt-val=\"{\" control_fields=\"\" source=\"\" type=\"\" name=\"\" target=\"\" url=\"\" vertical=\"\" position=\"\" pixels=\"\" link=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/carmichaelkevin\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">CarmichaelKevin<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>_____________________________________________________________<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\"><strong><em>\u00a0If you like this story sign up for  FP Economy Newsletter.<br \/><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>_____________________________________________________________<\/p>\n<p data-async=\"\">Listen to Down to Business for in-depth discussions and insights into the latest in Canadian business, available wherever you get your podcasts . 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